The Importance of Cash Projections for Small Businesses

As a small business owner, managing your cash flow is crucial to the success of your business. Cash projections are a tool that can help you better understand your cash flow and plan for future business activities. In this blog post, we'll explore why cash projections are important for small businesses and how they can help you make better financial decisions.
What are Cash Projections?
Cash projections are estimates of the cash inflows and outflows of a business over a specific period of time. They are typically prepared on a monthly basis and are used to help small businesses plan for future expenses and investments. Cash projections take into account all the cash that will come into the business (cash inflows) and all the cash that will go out of the business (cash outflows).
Why are Cash Projections Important for Small Businesses?
Anticipate Cash Shortages
Cash projections help small businesses anticipate cash shortages. By forecasting future cash flows, you can see if your business is likely to have a shortfall in cash and plan accordingly. This can help you avoid missed payments to suppliers, employees, or lenders, which can damage your business reputation and lead to financial penalties.
Plan for Growth
Cash projections can help small businesses plan for growth. By forecasting future cash flows, you can determine when you will have the cash to invest in new products, equipment, or marketing campaigns. This can help you take advantage of opportunities to grow your business while maintaining financial stability.
Identify Potential Cash Surpluses
Cash projections can help small businesses identify potential cash surpluses. By forecasting future cash flows, you can see if your business is likely to have excess cash and plan how to use it. This can help you invest in new business activities, such as research and development or expanding into new markets, which can help you stay ahead of your competitors.
Make Informed Decisions
Cash projections can help small businesses make informed decisions. By forecasting future cash flows, you can see the financial impact of different business activities, such as hiring new employees, expanding your product line, or investing in new equipment. This can help you make decisions that are financially sound and in the best interest of your business.
Prepare for Financial Emergencies
Cash projections can help small businesses prepare for financial emergencies. By forecasting future cash flows, you can see if your business is likely to have the cash to cover unexpected expenses, such as equipment breakdowns or unforeseen legal fees. This can help you build up a financial cushion that can protect your business from financial shocks.
Conclusion
Cash projections are an important tool for small businesses to manage their cash flow and plan for future business activities. By anticipating cash shortages, planning for growth, identifying potential cash surpluses, making informed decisions, and preparing for financial emergencies, small businesses can use cash projections to maintain financial stability and grow their businesses over time. If you're a small business owner, it's important to consider cash projections as part of your financial planning process.

If you’re running a Shopify-based business and you’re still not sure whether you should be using cash or accrual accounting, this is the breakdown you actually need.
The Basics: Cash vs. Accrual (Plain English)
Cash basis accounting means nothing touches your books until it touches your cash account. You don’t record a sale until the money shows up in your bank.
Accrual basis accounting means you record the transaction when it actually happens — not when the cash moves. If you ship a product today but don’t get paid for 30 days, you still record the sale today. You record it as accounts receivable, then swap that out for cash when it hits the bank.
What Works Best for E-Commerce
For most e-commerce businesses, the right answer is accrual— or at least a modified accrual system.
If you’re selling DTC and don’t have receivables, that’s one thing. But you do have inventory. And inventory is likely your single largest asset, and your biggest expense is the cost of that inventory when it is sold.
You also probably have accounts payable — vendor terms, delayed payments, etc. If you’re not recording those, you’re missing critical parts of your financial picture.
So even if you don’t have receivables, you still need accrual for payables and inventory. Without it, your books aren’t giving you the full story.
Why Cash Basis Gets Dangerous at 7 Figures
Once your business scales, the cracks in cash basis accounting start to show.
Say you start selling wholesale. Larger orders, delayed payments. If you’re not recording sales when they happen, your revenue is disconnected from reality.
Same thing on the inventory side. More sales means more inventory. More vendor terms. You need to know how much cash is tied up in product and what you owe vendors. You can’t track that without accrual accounting.
Sticking with cash basis when you’re at or above seven figures means you’rerunning a complex business on a bookkeeping method built for lemonade stands.
When Cash Basis *Might* Be Okay
There are rare cases where cash basis works. Usually it’swhen:
- Your inventory is homogenous (like bulk vintage clothing)
- You don’t sell wholesale or give customer terms (your customers pay when or before they get the items)
- You pay for inventory up front (no payables)
And even then, you’re limited in how much insight you can get. Cash basis meansyou only see what’s happening when the money moves — but a lot happens beforeor after that.
So yes, the IRS allows some businesses to expense inventory as they buy it —but for most e-commerce brands, accrual is the better long-term choice.
Still using cash basis accounting? Or unsure if your books actually reflect reality? Lonely, and just want to talk to someone? Book a call and let's chat!

If you’re running a Shopify-based business — or thinkingabout selling one — you’ve probably heard the term “EBITDA” thrown around. But what the hell is it actually measuring, and why does it matter? This post breaks it down in plain english.
What Is EBITDA (In Plain English)
EBITDA stands for Earnings Before Interest, Taxes,Depreciation, and Amortization.
It’s a way to measure the cash flow generated by the operations of the business, without the noise of non-operational accounting entries.
By backing out interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, you’re removing costs that aren’t directly tied to day-to-day operations and would look totally different under different ownership.
It gives you a number that reflects how much profit the business actually produces from operations — a useful way to compare performance across companies, time periods, or potential buyers.
Why EBITDA Matters If You're Selling (Or Scaling)
When you're valuing a business, one common method is toapply a multiple to EBITDA. A software company might be worth 20× EBITDA. A manufacturing business might go for 10× (bote these are just for illustration, please reach out if you want an actual range for your company).
The idea is to look at comparable businesses, what they sold for, and how that sale price relates to their EBITDA. Then you apply a similar logic to your business to get an estimate of what it might be worth on the open market.
Yes, there are other valuation methods — based on revenue, assets, and sometimes just hope and dreams. But EBITDA gives you a cash-based, semi-objective number you can work from.
Normalization vs. Manipulation
Let’s talk about a dirty little secret: most small business owners run some personal expenses through their business.
That conference in San Diego? You stayed three extra days. Did you reimburse the company? Probably not.
This is where “normalizing” EBITDA comes in. You add back expenses that technically hit EBITDA but aren’t really business-related or wouldn’t existunder new ownership — travel, meals, vehicle expenses, etc.
So is EBITDA manipulated? Sometimes, yeah — but it’s more often just adjusted to reflect the true economics of the business.
What founders *should* be worried about isn’t manipulation — it’s accuracy. Most small businesses don’t intentionally fudge their numbers — they just have sloppy books. Bad bookkeeping, unreconciled accounts, missing entries. That’s what really skews EBITDA.
How to Calculate EBITDA in a Shopify Business
Step one: clean your books. If your inventory, receivables,or payables are wrong, your EBITDA will be too.
For product-based e-commerce companies, COGS is your biggest expense and inventory is usually one of your biggest assets. If those aren’t tied out, the whole foundation crumbles.
Once your balance sheet is clean, identify any expenses that should be normalized — personal travel, car payments, anything that wouldn't show up under different ownership.
Then do the math:
- Start with Net Income from your P&L
- Add back Interest Expense
- Add back Income Taxes (not payroll taxes — only income-based taxes)
- Add back Depreciation
- Add back Amortization
That’s your EBITDA. It’s a measure of the business’s operational cash flow. And it’s only meaningful if your books are tight and your normalizations are honest.
Thinking about selling? Trying to get a real handle on cash flow? Afraid your books are a mess? Just want to chat and talk about sports? Book a call here


